Romania’s Potential as a Natural Gas Exporter

With the increase in domestic production and the expansion of transport infrastructure, Romania has the potential to become a significant natural gas exporter in Southeast Europe. However, this strategy also involves geopolitical, economic, and energy security risks.

Resources and Export Capacity

Romania is one of the few EU countries that covers a significant portion of its domestic consumption with its own production. Onshore deposits, combined with prospects in the Black Sea (e.g., the Neptun Deep perimeter), could generate surpluses available for export.

Potential Destinations

Countries such as Moldova, Hungary, Bulgaria, and even Ukraine are natural export markets. Existing interconnectors (e.g., Iași-Ungheni, Giurgiu-Ruse) enable bilateral flows, and infrastructure development could increase their capacity.

Economic Opportunities

Exports could generate significant revenue for producers and contribute to macroeconomic stability. Additionally, strengthening Romania’s position as a regional hub could enhance its geopolitical influence in the region.

Risks and Limitations

• Dependence on transit partners’ infrastructure
• Volatility of international prices
• Geopolitical risks, particularly in relations with Ukraine and Russia
• The temptation to prioritize exports over domestic consumption during crises

Conclusion

Gas exports represent a real opportunity for Romania but require a clear strategy supported by infrastructure investments and coherent foreign policy. Balancing domestic and regional needs will be essential.